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The Morning
Independent
Special Report · The 2026 midterms
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TMI
The Morning
Independent
Special Report · The 2026 midterms
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6:23
Watch · The narrated special

Paul Rieckhoff walks through the report

The two electorates, the states where the door is shut, the four with November history on the file, the House, and Tuesday’s margins, in six minutes.

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01 / Who picked the ballot

02 / Who voted on it

03 / The margin

04 / The night

05 / What fills in next

06 / Contested

What the file can’t settle

Where the measures disagree, or the count isn’t done. And what would settle each question.

    07 / Sources & method

    How we built this

      Method

      What we leave out

      No individual voter appears anywhere in this report; the voter file is queried for aggregates only, and no raw count from it is printed as a total. No party split is shown for a state that does not register by party. No forecast.

      TMI makes no call. Race calls are the Associated Press’s as logged by the IVA Election Desk; every margin is a partial count with its share reporting shown, until the state certifies.

      Map data: US Census cartographic boundaries via us-atlas, Albers USA projection. Dots on the hero are a scaled picture of registered voters, not their locations.