Independent
What a freeze would leave behind the line
Oblast by oblast
Share of each region held by Russia on DeepState’s map, Oct 19. Bold: the five regions Russia’s constitution now names as its own.
The cities nearest the line
Pre-war population (Ukraine’s statistics office, Jan 1, 2022) and distance from the city center to the line on DeepState’s map.
What it cost to draw the line
What happened, in order
Where each side stands
What Ukrainians and Russians tell pollsters
What a freeze would not settle
Where the parties, or the people counting, disagree. And what would settle each question.
How we built this
Method
What we leave out
No tactical detail: places are named at city or oblast level, weapons by type only, and nothing that would help target anything. Military deaths are shown as every serious count side by side, because they measure different things. Civilian deaths are the UN’s verified minimum.
TMI makes no forecasts. Each government’s statements are labeled as that government’s claim. “Reported” marks a credible outlet’s account TMI could not independently confirm; “disputed” marks a direct contradiction between sources. Every quote on this page was checked word for word against the saved source.
Map data: DeepState (© DeepState), Natural Earth, geoBoundaries (ODbL); Ukraine shown within its internationally recognized borders.